Looking towards the end of the year month, hopefully there’ll be an improvement
Monday 24 February – Sunday 1 March
Less windy with rain mainly in the north
The final week of February should see a subtle change in the weather. We still expect Atlantic weather systems to affect the UK, but less frequently than we have been seeing. This will be because a ridge of high pressure centred over Europe is expected to expand northwards, this in turn deflecting the track of the Atlantic lows northwards.There is a little uncertainty over exactly how far north the ridge of high pressure will extend, and this has a knock-on effect on winds and rain across the country. However, it should be less wet and less windy for the UK as a whole.There will still be some rain, this mainly over the north of the country where it may become windy at times. The south of the country should become drier and calmer, although don’t be surprised if there is still a spell or two of wet weather.As we’ve seen for much of the winter, temperatures will be near or a little above normal for the time of year. However, with winds likely to be coming in from the north-west at times there will be some spells of cooler weather.
Monday 2 March – Sunday 15 March
Briefly drier, then wet and windy again
The first working week of March will bring little change to the overall pattern seen at the end of February. High pressure should limit the impact of Atlantic weather systems, so it looks drier and calmer than normal in most areas. Just the north of the UK, mainly Scotland but perhaps Northern Ireland, are likely to see rainfall near normal, perhaps a little above normal locally As we move towards the middle of the month it looks as though high pressure will either decline southwards or start to drift eastwards. The upshot of this is that we would see rainfall nearer normal across the UK, although still with wettest areas of the country being in the north and west. A similar pattern is expected with winds – northern and west parts look most likely to see windy weather whilst the south and east remain relatively calm. One thing that doesn’t seem to change much in March is that it still looks warmer than normal. We do think there could be the occasional cooler spell but at the moment there are no indications of any prolonged cold weather before the end of winter.