Christmas weather forecast. The last widespread White Christmas in the UK was in 2010. December was an extremely cold month that year and according to the Met Office 83% of stations recorded snow on the ground on December 25th. This year marks the tenth anniversary and since then we have had some exceptionally mild winters. Will this year buck the trend? At this stage the TWO view is there is a greater than average chance of cold snaps occurring during December 2020. In particular the chance of northwesterly flows is elevated. Generally they bring rather cold conditions to the UK in the winter months with the greatest risk of snow in northern and western coastal areas. Disturbances can result in more widespread snow. Snow on Christmas Day this year is considered to be most likely in the north and west. As usual in the UK high ground is more likely to see some of the white stuff.
The latest considerations are:
1) Recent weather patterns
2) Indications of colder weather through the first third of December
3) GEFS35 now covers the Christmas period
4) The likelihood of La Nina conditions
The Computer says
It’s expected to be too mild for snow in the south
It’s expected to be too mild for snow in Wales
It’s expected to be too mild for snow in the Midlands
It’s expected to be too mild for snow in the north
Cold conditions in Scotland are expected, marginal for rain or snow.
It’s expected to be too mild for snow in Northern Ireland
It’s expected to be too mild for snow in the Republic of Ireland
It’s expected to be too mild for snow in the Netherlands
@alloy, I take no responsibility for the weather let alone the forecast Ha Ha Ha .
Honorary Member
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